Friday, July 12, 2013

El Reno Triathlons Forecast

Hello friends! It's time for the official El Reno Rout 66 Triathlon Forecast! Best of luck to all the athletes and thank you to all of the volunteers!
The two main weather hazards this weekend are heat (duh!) and thunderstorms/heavy rain Sunday morning.

Saturday:
Sunrise - 6:25am
6AM - 74 degrees, mostly clear, humid, SSE wind 10 mph
8AM - 76 degrees, mostly sunny, humid, SSE wind 10 mph
10AM - 86 degrees, mostly sunny, SSE 15 mph
12PM - 92 degrees, mostly sunny, S 15mph

Sunday:
Sunrise - 6:26am
6AM - 70 degrees, partly cloudy, SE 10-20 mph, storms likely
8AM - 74 degrees, partly cloudy, SE 10-20 mph, storms likely
10AM - 76 degrees, mostly cloudy, SE 15-25 mph, scattered thunderstorms
12PM - 77 degrees, mostly cloudy, SE 15-25 mph, scattered thunderstorms

***STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON SUNDAY***
2 different weather models are currently showing a complex of showers and thunderstorms around sunrise Sunday morning.  Don't believe me? Check it out...

This is the 12Z run of the UKMET, one of my go-to models, showing a complex of showers and thunderstorms over Central Oklahoma on Sunday at 12Z (7am local time). No bueno.
 Let's see if what the other model thinks...
Here is the 12Z run of the NAM for the same time.  Notice almost the same exact bulls eye over Central OK. This shows agreement between models giving me a higher confidence in my forecast of storms around sunrise Sunday.
Is it a guaranteed washout? No. Stay tuned. But I bet we will get rained on at some point Sunday. Let's just hope there isn't thunder nearby. Remember...

Here are a few great weather resources for the day of...
*  www.kfor.com/radar for live streaming radar
* www.mesonet.org for current temps, wind speed, dew points, relative humidity, etc

See you at the race!


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